A recent World-Grain.com report shows that global agricultural production is expected to grow by 14% over the next decade. This data comes from the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook for 2025–2034, a major joint effort by two of the most respected voices in world ag economics.
This annual report looks ahead at how production and consumption might evolve across the globe — and it’s a valuable read if you want to keep ahead of the curve.
Here are some of the production shifts they’re forecasting — and why they matter:
Wheat: Global production projected to climb 74 million metric tons (mmt) to hit 874 mmt.
India alone will account for 29% of that growth.
Corn: Global production is set to rise 188 mmt, reaching 1.4 billion mmt.
The biggest contributors:
U.S.: +33 mmt
Brazil: +32 mmt
China: +27 mmt
Most of the growth will be from yield gains, not land expansion.
Soybeans: Production growth will slow compared to the previous decade, but soybean crushing will still grow 62 mmt — a solid but more measured pace than the 95 mmt jump seen previously.
The takeaway? We’re looking at more supply, driven by smarter practices, not just more land. That includes better tech, tighter tillage strategies, and improved efficiency across the board.
This outlook suggests longer periods of tight margins and price pressure. If yields are rising consistently, the global market starts to price in “abundant supply” — which can weigh down your selling opportunities.
Even with bullish days in the market, don’t expect sky-high prices to stick around unless there’s a major shake-up (weather, trade war, etc.). In fact, the more confidence the market has in consistent supply, the more important it becomes for you to plan further ahead.
This isn’t the time for “wait and see.”
Here’s what you should be thinking about:
Price spikes? Use them. Be ready to sell when the market rallies. With growing global production, those rallies may be short-lived.
Manage risk with a mix of cash and paper tools. Hedging with futures or options — and managing forward sales — helps you stay nimble.
Consider multi-year selling strategies. Lock in gains during market carry periods, even a year or two out, to lock in positive margins.
Always account for disruptions. Weather, geopolitics, trade — they still move markets. Be positioned to pivot.
When markets tighten and margins shrink, every bushel matters. You put months of work, fuel, and inputs into every acre — only to watch starlings, blackbirds, and grackles help themselves to your harvest or feed.
It’s not just what they eat — it’s what they ruin:
🛑 Contaminated silage and grain
🛑 Spoiled feed bunks
🛑 Damaged grain piles and storage
🛑 Lost yields from trampled or pecked crops
Birds may look harmless, but they steal thousands of dollars a season from unprotected farms and feedyards. And with flocks growing in size and resistance to scare tactics, deterrents alone aren’t enough.
That’s where Avitrol® steps in.
Avitrol works by changing bird behavior, causing a panic response in just a few individuals that sends the entire flock packing — for good. It’s fast, effective, and lets you take back control before the damage is done.
If you're sitting on valuable grain, it’s not just feed or future revenue — it’s your livelihood.
Don't lose it to birds. Protect it with Avitrol.
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